Prediction: Gartner will fail at their prediction

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I must say that somebody must be making money by hedging their bets against Windows phone 7. The latest comes from Gartner Research who according to Information Week

Gartner predicts the release of Windows Phone 7 will help bump Microsoft’s share of the worldwide market from 4.7% in 2010 to 5.2% in 2011, but says the company’s share will ultimately decline to just 3.9% by 2014.

By then, Microsoft will badly trail virtually every other major mobile OS developer, according to Gartner. The firm predicts the Symbian OS will continue to lead the market in 2014, with a 30.2% stake, just barely ahead of Google’s Android. Gartner sees Android’s share ballooning to 29.6% by 2014, up from 17.7% in 2010 and just 3.9% in 2009.

We have already covered this madness by analysts but I’m just curious, what is their obsession with predicting doom for a product before it even launches and are they going to loose their jobs if they turn out to be wrong?

More about the topics: prediction, windows phone 7, wp7