Last month, Bing Predicts team announced that they will be offering prediction on the U.S. mid-term elections on Bing. Now that results are out, Microsoft compared their predictions with actual results. Even though their predictions were not perfect, they got it right in more than 95% of the races. And even better news is that their predictions were better than renowned forecasters including Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
Here’s how the results are looking based on called races and current counts:
- Senate: Accurate in 34 of 35 seats (Louisiana run-off needed; not included).
- House: Accurate in 419 of 435 seats
- Governor: Accurate in 33 of 36 seats